Taree Race 6 Preview, Tips & Rated Prices — Chestime Rates On Top
Taree Race 6 preview: a fast tempo, Chestime rates on top from a wide gate, plus Kingsley's top four and rated prices against the market.
A fast-run 11-horse contest at Taree where the best-rated runner sits deep and the top pick has to work from the outside gate.
The Race
Taree Race 6 is a $30,000 assignment jumping at 3:50pm AEST on Sunday, run on a fine day with the rail in the true position. Eleven line up, and the weights stretch from Chestime up on 61.5kg down to Motorboat on 55kg. On paper this is a race with genuine ability at the top and a long tail, so the story is as much about where each key runner settles as it is about raw ratings.
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The Pace
The tempo band reads Fast with a pressure reading of 83.71 per cent, so this is a race set up to be run truly rather than dawdle. Deebee's Girl (4) is the one that maps to the lead off barrier 1 with a ppir of 1, and Whiskers (12) is the next closest with a ppir of 2 — the lower the figure, the closer to the lead a runner settles. Kingsley's top pick settles midfield on a ppir of 3, while the pace suits from off the speed. The concern is for the swoopers: with genuine tempo up front, Russian Escape on a ppir of 10 and Commander Meroo on 9 need the fast fractions to bring them into it, and they still need luck in transit.
Kingsley's Selections
His top pick is Chestime (1), who rates on top and resumes in good order after winning his last start going away and saluting in a trial since. He is rated $2.90 against a $2.45 market this morning, so on Kingsley's read he is a shade under the odds — the wide draw in 11 and a big weight rise are the knocks against an otherwise strong profile.
His second pick Josephine (5) was beaten only a whip last start at Gunnedah after getting a touch green late, held her ground well and has attracted early support. She settles handy on a ppir of 5 and shapes as the main threat, rated $7.50 against a $6.00 market this morning.
His third pick Russian Escape (6) is the best-rated horse in the field on the numbers, but missed the start and was caught wide last time, so that run is worth forgiving. He gets back and needs the race to fall his way, and at rated $8.50 against a $9.00 market this morning he is the value angle of the top four.
His fourth pick Whiskers (12) is trained at the track, settles handy on a ppir of 2 and is fitter again this preparation after challenging before tiring last start. The low acceleration is the query, but rated $15 against a $12 market this morning he is a hope at the odds.
There are no official Golden Bullet or Good Roughie tips in this race.
Rates on top and resuming in good order, won last start going away and saluted in the trial since. Sits midfield, best on the CAM and the acceleration ranks right up there. Wide in 11 and a big weight rise the knocks, and at the quote he seems a touch short. Top pick on the numbers.
Only went down a whip last start at Gunnedah after getting a bit green late, held ground well and the early money's there for her. Settles handy and looks the biggest threat to the top pick. Second pick.
Best rated in the field and has the top acceleration going. Missed the start and was caught wide last time, so forgive that one. Gets back and needs some luck from there, but he's overs at the quote. Third pick.
Trained at the track and settles handy, fitter again this prep. Challenged last start before tiring, the low acceleration a query but a hope at odds. Fourth pick.
Selections like these go up for every AU meeting, every race day.
Get today — $50The Metrics
CAM is Kingsley's composite ability rating, and Chestime tops it with a camRank of 1, from Russian Escape at 2 and Smart Jazz at 3. CSW, the class-speed-weight time rating, has Russian Escape out in front on a cswRank of 1, with Deebee's Girl second and Ghayoor third — so the swooper who needs luck is the one the clock likes best.
Cruising speed, a measure of how fast a runner travels through its comfortable range, is headed by Deebee's Girl on a cruisingRank of 1, then Motorboat and Whiskers. Acceleration, the turn-of-foot sprint metric, is the standout column for Russian Escape on an accelerationRank of 1, with Chestime right behind him at 2 and Smart Jazz third. That pairing — Russian Escape best for finishing speed and Chestime the closest to him from a far kinder run — is the shape of the race in two numbers.
What to watch: whether Chestime can overcome barrier 11 and the weight rise, or the fast tempo sets it up for Russian Escape's finishing burst.
Pre-race analysis, published before the jump. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
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