Albury Race 6 Preview: Snitzel Tycoon Rates Clear
Albury Race 6 tips and rated prices: Snitzel Tycoon tops a fast-run maiden on every key metric, but who threatens at the quote? Full preview inside.
A fast-run Albury maiden over the standard trip on a fine day, and the ratings point hard at one runner while the market has left a couple of prices to argue with. Here is how Race 6 sets up.
The race
This is a nine-horse maiden worth $27,000, jumping at 4:40pm AEST in fine conditions with the rail out 6.5m from the 1200m to the winning post and 3m the rest of the way. It is a mixed field of first starters and lightly raced types, several of them out of the same Michael Travers yard, and the class markers separate them clearly. No official tips are attached to this race.
No runner is clearly suited by the predicted tempo.
No runner is clearly suited by the predicted tempo.
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The pace picture
The tempo band reads Fast with a pressure figure of 67.59, so this is a genuinely run race rather than a dawdle. Tenacious Tiger (14) is the one that maps to the lead off a ppir of 1, and that matters, because the comment flags the worst finishing burst in the field by a long way — a leader in a fast-run race with nothing left when they come at it late. Just off that, Kingsley's fourth pick Flying Corsair (1) settles closest of the chances on a ppir of 2, with Backflips (9) next on 3 and top pick Snitzel Tycoon (10) parked on the speed on a ppir of 4. Carlow Rose (7) is the one giving away ground early, settling midfield on a ppir of 5 and relying on a finishing burst into a race set up to fall her way.
Kingsley's selections
His top pick is Snitzel Tycoon (10), rated $2.20 against a $2.40 market this morning — so he actually has her a touch of overs at the quote. She ran on hard first-up when fanned wide, never gave in through the heavy, and now drops into an easier maiden second-up. She maps on the speed and the metrics back her to the hilt.
His second pick and the main threat is Carlow Rose (7), rated $8.50 against a $6.00 market — so the market has her shorter than Kingsley does. She is second-up and better for the run, missed the kick last start and still wasn't beaten far, and drops in with a class edge and a finishing burst that suits the shape.
His third pick is It's A Task (2), a first starter placed in its Albury trial over this trip off four trials, rated $6.50 against a $6.00 market — the two are close to agreement. No form to weigh up, but the ability reads there.
His fourth pick Flying Corsair (1) is resuming with the bubble cheeker and tongue tie going on for the first time, rated $9.50 against a much shorter $5.50 market — a clear disagreement, with the market far keener than Kingsley. Lightly raced with upside and a strong booking in Brodie Loy.
Ran on hard first-up when fanned wide and never gave in, a cracking fresh run in the heavy. Now second-up and drops into an easier maiden. Best rated in the field on CSW, acceleration and CAM by a clear margin, and she handles the wet. Maps on the speed and the early money's arrived. Hard to beat, and even a touch of overs at the quote. Top pick.
No comment available for this runner.
Second-up and better for the run. Missed the kick last start and still wasn't beaten far. Rates 2nd on CSW with a class edge dropping into an easier maiden, and the early money's there. Settles midfield with a finishing burst. 2nd pick and the main threat to the top one.
First Starter but placed in its Albury trial over this trip, and it's had 4 trials to get it ready. No form to weigh up but the ability looks there. 3rd pick.
Selections like these go up for every AU meeting, every race day.
Get today — $50The metrics
CAM is the composite ability rating, and Snitzel Tycoon tops it at 72.30 with a camRank of 1, clear of Flying Corsair on camRank 2 and Carlow Rose on camRank 3. CSW, the class-speed-weight time rating, tells the same story: Snitzel Tycoon leads at 74.07 for cswRank 1, with Carlow Rose next at 73.79 on cswRank 2 — the class edge the comment leans on. Cruising speed, a measure of how fast a runner travels through its race, has Tenacious Tiger fastest at 70.40 on cruisingRank 1, ahead of Snitzel Tycoon on cruisingRank 2. Acceleration, the finishing-burst measure, is where the race is decided: Snitzel Tycoon rates 75.61 for accelerationRank 1, Carlow Rose is next on accelerationRank 2, and Tenacious Tiger sits stone last on accelerationRank 6 at 35.76 — the fast lead, slow finish that undoes a front-runner in a race run this hard.
The standout claim is simple: Snitzel Tycoon is the best rated in the field on CAM, CSW and acceleration, and does it in a race whose tempo punishes the horse that maps to lead. Tenacious Tiger is rated $23 against an $11 market this morning, and Kingsley is happy to take that one on.
What to watch: whether Tenacious Tiger can steal a soft lead, because if the tempo stays fast the finishers are set to run over the top.
Pre-race analysis, published before the jump. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
This race is free today. A day pass opens every AU meeting — Kingsley's selections, ratings and live prices, until midnight Sydney.